Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.049857 0.058123 0.067202 0.077896 0.090128 0.103665 0.119759
2025-05-11 0.037314 0.048085 0.061006 0.077574 0.098175 0.122861 0.154586
2025-05-18 0.028226 0.039778 0.054760 0.075451 0.103092 0.138524 0.187126
2025-05-25 0.022101 0.033764 0.049985 0.073904 0.107919 0.154134 0.221149
2025-06-01 0.018214 0.029921 0.047252 0.074329 0.114999 0.173102 0.261463
2025-06-08 0.014737 0.025928 0.043493 0.072450 0.118184 0.186581 0.295165
2025-06-15 0.013167 0.024599 0.043478 0.076077 0.129820 0.213373 0.350900
2025-06-22 0.011244 0.022284 0.041445 0.076052 0.135509 0.231429 0.394825
2025-06-29 0.009385 0.019712 0.038528 0.074023 0.137476 0.243527 0.430162
2025-07-06 0.008016 0.017789 0.036426 0.073043 0.140954 0.258208 0.470803
2025-07-13 0.007463 0.017369 0.037018 0.076990 0.153477 0.289220 0.541584
2025-07-20 0.006849 0.016705 0.037025 0.079781 0.164107 0.317774 0.610404
2025-07-27 0.005823 0.014977 0.034689 0.077773 0.165658 0.330576 0.653066
2025-08-03 0.005063 0.013707 0.033109 0.077071 0.169646 0.348209 0.706130
2025-08-10 0.004298 0.012264 0.030923 0.074776 0.170136 0.359221 0.747730
2025-08-17 0.003696 0.011099 0.029167 0.073151 0.171767 0.372502 0.794697
2025-08-24 0.003301 0.010391 0.028360 0.073526 0.177644 0.394645 0.860736
2025-08-31 0.002838 0.009395 0.026688 0.071644 0.178330 0.406224 0.906487
2025-09-07 0.002699 0.009299 0.027263 0.075223 0.191659 0.445209 1.011309
2025-09-14 0.002412 0.008696 0.026424 0.075192 0.196652 0.466877 1.081690
2025-09-21 0.002083 0.007886 0.024893 0.073181 0.196725 0.477839 1.130160
2025-09-28 0.001836 0.007279 0.023820 0.072210 0.199178 0.494224 1.191555
2025-10-05 0.001773 0.007290 0.024524 0.076115 0.214115 0.539966 1.320903